Pegasus Capital

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A View from the Bridge - August 2015

Just when the markets thought it was a slam dunk for a US rates rise this month, the fallout from the events in China over the last month have resulted in a time out until the consequences are absorbed. The path to normalisation as it is known in financial circles (interest rates at historically normal levels) has been re-routed as all eyes focus on what is happening to the Chinese economy. The cut in Chinese interest rates by 0.5%, the devaluation of the currency and the falling stock market are symptomatic of a slowdown and the need to stimulate demand however, it is the underlying deflation that is likely to be exported to the rest of the world.

PegasusCapital - Tue 1st Sep

A View from the Bridge - May 2018

The Bank of England left interest rates unchanged at its May meeting. Markets had largely written off any probability of an increase following the BOE Governor’s BBC interview in late April where he alluded to weaker Q1 growth and Brexit uncertainty delaying the prospect of higher interest rates. The inflation report itself provided very little in terms of guidance as to the timing of the next interest rate increase, forecast inflation was revised down slightly due to the lower than expected outturns since the last forecast round.

PegasusCapital - Mon 18th Jun